貴州電梯公司對電梯行業(yè)發(fā)展作以下的分析；

Guizhou elevator company makes the following analysis to the development of the elevator industry.

近期頻繁發(fā)生的電梯安全事故引發(fā)了外界極大關(guān)注，也折射出當(dāng)前電梯行業(yè)發(fā)展亂象。過去十幾年得益于房地產(chǎn)的高速發(fā)展，電梯需求量與日俱增，迎來了發(fā)展的黃金時期，不過隨著國內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)下行，房地產(chǎn)萎靡，電梯行業(yè)發(fā)展進(jìn)入瓶頸期。中國電梯產(chǎn)量出現(xiàn)過剩，國內(nèi)外電梯品牌為了賣出更多的產(chǎn)品不得不降低銷售價格，這帶來了電梯質(zhì)量、安裝質(zhì)量以及售后維保等一系列問題，從而進(jìn)一步惡化電梯行業(yè)發(fā)展環(huán)境。

The recent frequent elevator safety accidents have caused great concern to the outside world, and it also reflects the development of the elevator industry. Over the past decade, thanks to the rapid development of the real estate industry, the demand for elevator is increasing day by day, ushered in the golden era of development. However, with the downturn of the domestic economy and the slump of the real estate industry, the development of the elevator industry has entered the bottleneck stage. There is an excess of elevator production in China. Elevator brands at home and abroad have to reduce sales price in order to sell more products, which brings a series of problems such as elevator quality, installation quality and after-sale maintenance, which further worsen the development environment of elevator industry.

目前我國已成為世界范圍內(nèi)電梯保有量、年產(chǎn)量和年增長量第一大國，國內(nèi)電梯保有量從2001年的30多萬臺迅速增長到2015年的360萬臺，過去的五年間我國電梯的產(chǎn)銷量都在以15%—20%的速度增長。但與此同時，電梯安全問題卻層出不窮，僅2014年內(nèi)上報(bào)的電梯事故死亡人數(shù)就高達(dá)36人。

At present, China has become the world lift ownership, annual output and annual growth rate of the first country, the domestic elevator holdings from about 300000 in 2001 to 3 million 600 thousand in 2015 the rapid growth in the past five years, China's elevator production and sales are in the 15% - 20% growth rate. But at the same time, the elevator safety problems emerge in an endless stream, and the number of elevator accidents reported in 2014 is up to 36.

奧的斯、迅達(dá)、蒂森克虜伯、通力、三菱、日立、東芝、富士達(dá)等美歐日系合資品牌以及康力、嘉捷、博林特、廣日等四大上市國有品牌和其他小品牌電梯制造商共同構(gòu)成了我國電梯行業(yè)格局。2014年8家合資品牌在中國的銷售量是25萬到30萬臺，國產(chǎn)四大上市品牌合計(jì)銷售約15萬臺。而剩下的其他企業(yè)銷售量為10萬到15萬臺，這其中銷量最大的15000臺左右，而銷量最小的僅有20多臺。

Otis, Schindler, Thyssen Krupp, MITSUBISHI, Hitachi, Toshiba, Tongli, Fujitec etc. and Japanese joint venture brands, Kang Li, Jiajie, brilliant, Guangri four listed state-owned brands and other small brands elevator manufacturers together constitute the China elevator industry pattern. In 2014, the sales of 8 joint ventures in China were 250 thousand to 300 thousand, and the total number of domestic four listed brands sold about 150 thousand. The remaining sales of other companies were 100 thousand to 150 thousand, of which about 15000 of the biggest sales, and the smallest sales of only more than 20.

隨著房地產(chǎn)市場不斷萎靡，價格戰(zhàn)成為了行業(yè)競爭的主流方式。據(jù)業(yè)界透露，2014年降價可能還只涉及國產(chǎn)品牌，今年則是包括外資品牌在內(nèi)的全線品牌都在降價。受價格戰(zhàn)波及，一些小品牌電梯生產(chǎn)廠家將面臨倒閉的結(jié)局。除此之外，價格戰(zhàn)也將暴露電梯質(zhì)量、維保等系列問題，易滋生電梯安全事故風(fēng)險，這需要引起重視。

With the continuous slump in the real estate market, the price war has become the mainstream of the industry competition. According to the industry, the price reduction in 2014 may only involve domestic brands, and the whole line brand, including foreign brands, is falling down this year. By the price war, some small brand elevator manufacturers will face the end of the collapse. In addition, the price war will also expose the quality of elevator, maintenance and other series of problems, easy to raise the risk of elevator safety accident, which needs to be paid attention to.

一份調(diào)查顯示，在諸多導(dǎo)致電梯安全隱患的因素中，電梯制造質(zhì)量問題占16%;保養(yǎng)和使用造成安全隱患高達(dá)60%。在電梯安全問題頻繁發(fā)生的當(dāng)下，電梯維修保養(yǎng)行業(yè)也備受關(guān)注。

A survey shows that among the many factors that lead to the safety of elevators, the quality of elevator manufacturing is 16%, and the maintenance and use of safety risks are up to 60%. At the moment of the frequent occurrence of elevator safety problems, the elevator maintenance industry has also attracted much attention.

國家質(zhì)檢總局頒布的《電梯使用管理與維護(hù)保養(yǎng)規(guī)則》規(guī)定，正常使用的電梯每月至少要維修保養(yǎng)兩次，另外每季度、每半年與每年都需要各進(jìn)行一次大型維保;《特種設(shè)備安全條例》也規(guī)定，電梯應(yīng)該至少每15日進(jìn)行一次清潔、潤滑、調(diào)整和檢查。然而，現(xiàn)實(shí)是一些物業(yè)公司為了壓低價格，往往沒有按照規(guī)定進(jìn)行維護(hù)，電梯安全隱患就此產(chǎn)生。在電梯事故頻發(fā)的背景之下，預(yù)計(jì)電梯維保行業(yè)將進(jìn)入深度調(diào)整時期，優(yōu)質(zhì)的服務(wù)應(yīng)成為電梯維保行業(yè)市場競爭的重要環(huán)節(jié)。

The provisions issued by the State Quality Inspection Administration "elevator service management and maintenance rules", the normal use of the elevator monthly maintenance at least two times in every quarter, every half a year and every year to conduct a large-scale maintenance of special equipment safety; the "Regulations" also stipulates that the elevator should at least every 15 days for a clean, lubrication, adjustment and inspection. However, the reality is that some property companies in order to lower the price, often not in accordance with the provisions of the maintenance, the elevator safety hidden danger.  Under the background of frequent elevator accidents, it is estimated that the elevator maintenance industry will enter a period of deep adjustment. High quality service should become an important link in the market competition of elevator maintenance industry.

目前我國電梯每年增長50萬——60萬臺，按照這個發(fā)展速度，我國每年需要2萬——3萬人增加到維保隊(duì)伍中，同時安裝人員也每年需要增加1萬人左右，安裝維保年增加總額該在3萬——4萬人，而實(shí)際2014年新增的安裝維保人員不超過1萬人。鑒于安裝和維保人員缺口過大，未來電梯維保專業(yè)人才將成為發(fā)展重點(diǎn)。

At present, China's annual growth of 500 thousand, lift 600 thousand units, according to the speed of the development, our country need 20 thousand - 30 thousand to the maintenance team, at the same time also need to increase the annual installation personnel of about 10 thousand people, the total increase in the installation and maintenance of years 30 thousand - 40 thousand, while the actual 2014 new installation and maintenance personnel shall not exceed 10 thousand people. In view of the excessive gap between the installation and maintenance personnel, the future elevator maintenance professionals will become the focus of development.